Fram Reykjavik 3-2 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Reykjavik Cup, 31 Jan 2024

📅31/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
30%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
31%
+7.4pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.9pp
30%
Away Win
43%
-13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fram Reykjavik
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Valur
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.20 xG 1.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
343 Passes 482
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 32
24 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.07.2023 Valur Valur 1-0 HT 1-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
23.04.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-3 HT 1-1 Valur Valur İZL
29.08.2022 Valur Valur 1-1 HT 1-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
29.05.2022 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 3-2 HT 1-1 Valur Valur İZL
11.08.2014 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-0 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
19.05.2014 Valur Valur 5-3 HT 3-2 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
POST-MATCH Fram Reykjavik vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fram Reykjavik squeezed past Valur 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Fram Reykjavik found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fram Reykjavik and 2.00 for Valur.

What was the final score of Fram Reykjavik vs Valur?

Fram Reykjavik 3-2 Valur in the Iceland - Reykjavik Cup on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fram Reykjavik vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fram Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fram Reykjavik 39%, draw 31%, Valur 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fram Reykjavik), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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