Hertha Berlin 1-3 Kaiserslautern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 31 Jan 2024

📅31/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
40%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.03
Over 2.5
60%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.17
6+ Goals
12%
10.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.17 — our 28% vs market 25.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.58
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
13%
4.47
X/2
14%
7.48
X/X
11%
5.12
2/1
9%
23.0
2/2
19%
5.29
2/X
6%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
49%
-12.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
40%
Away Win
26%
+14.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
45%
-5.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
55%
+5.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.4pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 30%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.26/2.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.16/1.32
-35% / -67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -88% / +28%
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
466 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hertha Berlin
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kaiserslautern
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.95 xG 0.58
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
409 Passes 197
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.12.2023 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 1-2 HT 1-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
25.09.2013 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 3-1 HT 0-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AFK
25.02.2013 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-0 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
22.09.2012 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 1-1 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
21.04.2012 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-2 HT 0-2 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL1
21.12.2011 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 3-1 HT 1-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hertha Berlin
1-3
AWAY Kaiserslautern
1.97 xG 0.79
69% Ball Possession 31%
21 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
466 Passes 146
80% Pass Accuracy 56%
31 Box Touches 8
22 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hertha Berlin vs Kaiserslautern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaiserslautern beat Hertha Berlin 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Kaiserslautern made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Hertha Berlin had 69% of the ball to Kaiserslautern's 31%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 1.97 to 0.79 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hertha Berlin.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hertha Berlin and 1.33 for Kaiserslautern.

What was the final score of Hertha Berlin vs Kaiserslautern?

Hertha Berlin 1-3 Kaiserslautern in the Germany - DFB Cup on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin vs Kaiserslautern?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kaiserslautern win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin 36%, draw 24%, Kaiserslautern 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kaiserslautern), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kaiserslautern) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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