Chemnitzer FC 2-0 Eilenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 31 Jan 2024

📅31/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
34%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.0pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.0pp
34%
Away Win
24%
+9.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Eilenburg EU Bookmakers 28%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.91/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.68
+4% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
393 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemnitzer FC
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Eilenburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2022 Eilenburg Eilenburg 1-2 HT 1-1 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
03.10.2021 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
13.07.2018 Eilenburg Eilenburg 1-2 HT 1-2 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chemnitzer FC
2-0
AWAY Eilenburg
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chemnitzer FC vs Eilenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemnitzer FC got the better of Eilenburg 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chemnitzer FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Chemnitzer FC had 50% of the ball to Eilenburg's 50%, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chemnitzer FC had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chemnitzer FC and 0.67 for Eilenburg.

What was the final score of Chemnitzer FC vs Eilenburg?

Chemnitzer FC 2-0 Eilenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemnitzer FC vs Eilenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chemnitzer FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Chemnitzer FC 46%, draw 20%, Eilenburg 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chemnitzer FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chemnitzer FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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