Botafogo 1-1 Portuguesa RJ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Carioca 1, 31 Jan 2024

Botafogo
1-1 HT 1-0
Portuguesa RJ
📅31/01/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Carioca 1 – 2024

Botafogo vs Portuguesa RJ Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Botafogo v Portuguesa RJ — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Portuguesa RJ EU Bookmakers 28%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.52/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.65
-68% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +126%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.4

Botafogo vs Portuguesa RJ Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Portuguesa RJ
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.03.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 3-1 HT 1-1 Portuguesa RJ Portuguesa RJ BRC1
19.03.2023 Portuguesa RJ Portuguesa RJ 0-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BRC1
09.03.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 0-1 HT 0-1 Portuguesa RJ Portuguesa RJ BRC1
28.02.2022 Portuguesa RJ Portuguesa RJ 5-3 HT 2-2 Botafogo Botafogo BRC1
04.04.2021 Botafogo Botafogo 1-1 HT 1-0 Portuguesa RJ Portuguesa RJ BRC1
02.07.2020 Portuguesa RJ Portuguesa RJ 0-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BRC1

Botafogo 1-1 Portuguesa RJ — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo
1-1
AWAY Portuguesa RJ
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Botafogo vs Portuguesa RJ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo and Portuguesa RJ couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Botafogo at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Botafogo had 49% of the ball to Portuguesa RJ's 51%, shots finished 19-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portuguesa RJ led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Botafogo and 1.33 for Portuguesa RJ.

What was the final score of Botafogo vs Portuguesa RJ?

Botafogo 1-1 Portuguesa RJ in the Brazil - Carioca 1 on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Portuguesa RJ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 49%, draw 27%, Portuguesa RJ 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Botafogo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botafogo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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