31/01/2024
·
21:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Ipora vs Morrinhos Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No Pick
57%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
47%
4-5
19%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
41%
Home Win
57%
28%
Draw
22%
30%
Away Win
21%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ipora v Morrinhos — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ipora
The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
Morrinhos
The Market 24%
-22% /
-22%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-18% /
-18%
1.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.34/1.33
-32%
/
-17%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-63%
/
+19%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
328 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
332 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
3.0
POST-MATCH
Ipora vs Morrinhos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ipora squeezed past Morrinhos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Ipora as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
What was the final score of Ipora vs Morrinhos?
Ipora 1-0 Morrinhos in the Brazil - Goiano 1 on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ipora vs Morrinhos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ipora win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ipora 41%, draw 28%, Morrinhos 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ipora), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Ipora)
✓ BTTS No
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