USM Alger 1-2 CS Constantine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 31 Jan 2024

📅31/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.44
No
53%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.08
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
6.09
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
19%
Away Win
19%
+0.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
37%
+9.7pp
53%
BTTS No
63%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Constantine EU Bookmakers 22%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -10%
1.90/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.06
+31% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
340 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CS Constantine
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.07.2023 CS Constantine CS Constantine 3-0 HT 2-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
24.12.2022 USM Alger USM Alger 2-1 HT 1-0 CS Constantine CS Constantine CZYR
21.01.2022 CS Constantine CS Constantine 1-1 HT 0-1 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
30.05.2021 USM Alger USM Alger 0-0 HT 0-0 CS Constantine CS Constantine CZYR
23.12.2020 CS Constantine CS Constantine 2-1 HT 1-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
08.02.2020 USM Alger USM Alger 1-3 HT 0-0 CS Constantine CS Constantine CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Alger
1-2
AWAY CS Constantine
53% Ball Possession 47%
21 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs CS Constantine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Constantine nicked a narrow win over USM Alger 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was USM Alger at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, USM Alger had 53% of the ball to CS Constantine's 47%, shots finished 21-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Constantine led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for USM Alger and 1.67 for CS Constantine.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs CS Constantine?

USM Alger 1-2 CS Constantine in the Algeria - 1st Division on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs CS Constantine?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 51%, draw 29%, CS Constantine 19%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (USM Alger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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