Municipal 3-1 Antigua GFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 31 Jan 2024

Municipal
3-1 HT 1-0
Antigua GFC
📅31/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Guatemala - National League – 2023/2024

Municipal vs Antigua GFC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
17%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
52%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
13%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-6.8pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.9pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.3pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Municipal v Antigua GFC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.74/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.63
-5% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
371 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.5

Municipal vs Antigua GFC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Antigua GFC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 0-2 HT 0-2 Municipal Municipal GUAT
13.08.2023 Municipal Municipal 0-1 HT 0-1 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
15.05.2023 Municipal Municipal 2-1 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
12.05.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-1 HT 1-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
30.04.2023 Municipal Municipal 4-0 HT 2-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
02.03.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-1 HT 2-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Antigua GFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal beat Antigua GFC 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Municipal and 1.00 for Antigua GFC.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Antigua GFC?

Municipal 3-1 Antigua GFC in the Guatemala - National League on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Antigua GFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Municipal 52%, draw 31%, Antigua GFC 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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