Stal Mielec 1-2 IFK Varnamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 31 Jan 2024

📅31/01/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-10.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Mielec EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.00/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
-46% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -42%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Stal Mielec vs IFK Varnamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Varnamo squeezed past Stal Mielec 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Stal Mielec at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Stal Mielec vs IFK Varnamo?

Stal Mielec 1-2 IFK Varnamo in the Friendlies on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Mielec vs IFK Varnamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Mielec win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Stal Mielec 47%, draw 25%, IFK Varnamo 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stal Mielec) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stal Mielec) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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