St. Francis 2-2 Bluebell United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Leinster Senior League, 31 Jan 2024

📅31/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
Over Pick
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
44%
4-5
28%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
57%
Home Win
63%
-6.0pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Francis The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Bluebell United The Market 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH St. Francis vs Bluebell United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Francis and Bluebell United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had St. Francis at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

What was the final score of St. Francis vs Bluebell United?

St. Francis 2-2 Bluebell United in the Ireland - Leinster Senior League on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Francis vs Bluebell United?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Francis win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split St. Francis 57%, draw 21%, Bluebell United 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (St. Francis), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Francis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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