Al Najma 0-1 Al Kholood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 31 Jan 2024

📅31/01/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
39%
Away Win
35%
+4.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +12%
1.18/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.70
+7% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +56%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najma
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Kholood
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.08.2023 Al Kholood Al Kholood 2-2 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma SUUD1
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs Al Kholood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kholood edged past Al Najma 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Al Kholood found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs Al Kholood?

Al Najma 0-1 Al Kholood in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Al Kholood?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Kholood win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 33%, draw 28%, Al Kholood 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Kholood), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Kholood) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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