Zonguldak Kömürspor 1-0 Afyonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 31 Jan 2024

📅31/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zonguldak Kömürspor EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Afyonspor EU Bookmakers 26%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.85
-28% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +42%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
315 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zonguldak Kömürspor
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Afyonspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Afyonspor Afyonspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Zonguldak Kömürspor T2L-K
06.01.2021 Zonguldak Kömürspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Afyonspor Afyonspor S2-B
15.12.2019 Zonguldak Kömürspor 2-2 HT 0-1 Afyonspor Afyonspor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zonguldak Kömürspor
1-0
AWAY Afyonspor
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Zonguldak Kömürspor vs Afyonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zonguldak Kömürspor edged past Afyonspor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zonguldak Kömürspor as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Zonguldak Kömürspor had 57% of the ball to Afyonspor's 43%, shots finished 13-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Afyonspor led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zonguldak Kömürspor and 1.67 for Afyonspor.

What was the final score of Zonguldak Kömürspor vs Afyonspor?

Zonguldak Kömürspor 1-0 Afyonspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zonguldak Kömürspor vs Afyonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zonguldak Kömürspor win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Zonguldak Kömürspor 49%, draw 26%, Afyonspor 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zonguldak Kömürspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zonguldak Kömürspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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