Eintracht Frankfurt (K) 3-2 Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-11.4pp
31%
Draw
23%
+8.2pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.78/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.62
-3% / +135% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
16.0 Crosses 15.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.35 xG 1.07
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
388 Passes 238
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) 2-2 HT 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt (K) Eintracht Frankfurt (K) ALKB
13.04.2024 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt (K) Eintracht Frankfurt (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt (K)
3-2
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
2.40 xG 1.27
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
293 Passes 239
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
14 Box Touches 34
10 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eintracht Frankfurt (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Frankfurt (K) edged past Bayer Leverkusen (K) 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Eintracht Frankfurt (K) as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Eintracht Frankfurt (K) had 53% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen (K)'s 47%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 2.40 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt (K) and 2.00 for Bayer Leverkusen (K).

What was the final score of Eintracht Frankfurt (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Eintracht Frankfurt (K) 3-2 Bayer Leverkusen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Frankfurt (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eintracht Frankfurt (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Frankfurt (K) 46%, draw 31%, Bayer Leverkusen (K) 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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