MSV Duisburg 0-2 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MSV Duisburg EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Oberhausen EU Bookmakers 26%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -8%
1.99/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.68
+11% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MSV Duisburg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
10.08.2024 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 0-2 HT 0-1 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg ALMBÖL
16.07.2017 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 1-2 HT 1-2 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg HAZ
25.02.2011 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 0-0 HT 0-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL2
01.10.2010 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 3-0 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen AL2
26.02.2010 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 2-2 HT 2-2 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen AL2
25.09.2009 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 1-0 HT 1-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL2
POST-MATCH MSV Duisburg vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen got the better of MSV Duisburg 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was MSV Duisburg at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MSV Duisburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for MSV Duisburg and 0.67 for Rot-Weiss Oberhausen.

What was the final score of MSV Duisburg vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen?

MSV Duisburg 0-2 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen in the Germany - Regional League on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MSV Duisburg vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a MSV Duisburg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split MSV Duisburg 47%, draw 27%, Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 26%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (MSV Duisburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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