Argentinos Juniors 1-0 Atletico Tigre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.45
Over 2.5
30%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.27
No
66%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
44%
2.0
2-3 Goals
35%
1.76
4-5 Goals
14%
5.69
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.0 — our 44% vs market 41.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.93
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.1
X/1
11%
4.11
X/2
9%
6.93
X/X
16%
3.7
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
15%
6.34
2/X
9%
17.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.0pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.2pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.9pp
70%
Under 2.5
65%
+4.4pp
30%
Over 2.5
35%
-4.4pp
34%
BTTS Yes
40%
-6.1pp
66%
BTTS No
60%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tigre EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.41/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.12
+37% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 70%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
21.4 Crosses 17.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Argentinos Juniors
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atletico Tigre
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.14 xG 1.09
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 Passes 258
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.07.2024 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
06.03.2023 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 0-1 HT 0-1 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
12.07.2022 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 2-1 HT 2-1 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
15.05.2022 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 1-1 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
12.11.2018 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 2-1 HT 0-1 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
13.02.2018 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 2-0 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Argentinos Juniors
1-0
AWAY Atletico Tigre
0.74 xG 0.27
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
377 Passes 245
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Argentinos Juniors vs Atletico Tigre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Argentinos Juniors edged past Atletico Tigre 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Argentinos Juniors found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Argentinos Juniors had 57% of the ball to Atletico Tigre's 43%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 0.74 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Tigre led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Argentinos Juniors and 1.33 for Atletico Tigre.

What was the final score of Argentinos Juniors vs Atletico Tigre?

Argentinos Juniors 1-0 Atletico Tigre in the Argentina - Premier League on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Argentinos Juniors vs Atletico Tigre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Argentinos Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Argentinos Juniors 39%, draw 32%, Atletico Tigre 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Argentinos Juniors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Argentinos Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
31 Jan 2025
01:15 Racing Club vs Belgrano Cordoba Analysis →
03:30 Central Cordoba Santiago vs Atletico Tucuman Analysis →