Sydney (K) 2-3 Adelaide United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 31 Jan 2025

Sydney (K)
2-3 HT 0-1
Adelaide United (K)
📅31/01/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Sydney (K) vs Adelaide United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.75
No
41%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.9pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.1pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.3pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sydney (K) v Adelaide United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide United (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.00/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.85
+26% / +117% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
13.2 Crosses 14.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.4

Sydney (K) vs Adelaide United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney (K)
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Adelaide United (K)
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.29 xG 1.12
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
344 Passes 286
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
28 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.03.2024 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
29.12.2019 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
22.11.2019 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
13.12.2018 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 5-2 HT 1-1 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW

Sydney (K) 2-3 Adelaide United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney (K)
2-3
AWAY Adelaide United (K)
1.46 xG 1.94
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
288 Passes 305
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sydney (K) vs Adelaide United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United (K) nicked a narrow win over Sydney (K) 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; Adelaide United (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sydney (K) had 49% of the ball to Adelaide United (K)'s 51%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.46 to 1.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sydney (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Sydney (K) and 0.50 for Adelaide United (K).

What was the final score of Sydney (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?

Sydney (K) 2-3 Adelaide United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sydney (K) 38%, draw 32%, Adelaide United (K) 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sydney (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sydney (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
31 Jan 2025
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