Alianza Lima 2-0 Aucas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
30%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+9.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Lima EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Aucas EU Bookmakers 23%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-73% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
353 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Lima
2-0
AWAY Aucas
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alianza Lima vs Aucas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Lima beat Aucas 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Alianza Lima had 51% of the ball to Aucas's 49%, shots finished 16-8.

What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Aucas?

Alianza Lima 2-0 Aucas in the Friendlies on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs Aucas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 45%, draw 26%, Aucas 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Lima) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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