31/01/2025
·
15:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
Al Ahed vs Shabab Al Ghazieh Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
19%
Draw
12%
16%
Away Win
6%
40%
BTTS Yes
34%
60%
BTTS No
66%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ahed v Shabab Al Ghazieh — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Ahed
EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY
Shabab Al Ghazieh
EU Bookmakers 8%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-6% /
-6%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-13%
61%
Ball Possession
39%
16
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Target
2
7
Corners
2
432 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
206 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Ahed vs Shabab Al Ghazieh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Ahed beat Shabab Al Ghazieh 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahed as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Al Ahed vs Shabab Al Ghazieh?
Al Ahed 3-1 Shabab Al Ghazieh in the Lebanon - Premier League on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ahed vs Shabab Al Ghazieh?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahed win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Al Ahed 66%, draw 19%, Shabab Al Ghazieh 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahed), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Ahed)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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LUBN
More Lebanon - Premier League
31 Jan 2025