Ekvador U20 2-3 Brezilya U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sudamericano U20, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
39%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
39%
Away Win
48%
-9.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ekvador U20 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Brezilya U20 EU Bookmakers 52%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.25/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.30
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +90%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
229 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
19.0 Crosses 8.5
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ekvador U20
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Brezilya U20
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.17 xG 0.86
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
267 Passes 322
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2023 Brezilya U20 Brezilya U20 3-1 HT 2-0 Ekvador U20 Ekvador U20 SUD20
08.02.2019 Ekvador U20 Ekvador U20 0-0 HT 0-0 Brezilya U20 Brezilya U20 SUD20
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ekvador U20
2-3
AWAY Brezilya U20
1.63 xG 2.78
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
275 Passes 251
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ekvador U20 vs Brezilya U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brezilya U20 edged past Ekvador U20 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Brezilya U20 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ekvador U20 had 52% of the ball to Brezilya U20's 48%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.63 to 2.78.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Brezilya U20 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ekvador U20 and 1.50 for Brezilya U20.

What was the final score of Ekvador U20 vs Brezilya U20?

Ekvador U20 2-3 Brezilya U20 in the Sudamericano U20 on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ekvador U20 vs Brezilya U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brezilya U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ekvador U20 34%, draw 27%, Brezilya U20 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brezilya U20), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brezilya U20) ✓ BTTS Yes
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