Eyüpspor 1-0 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.32
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
19%
4.42
X/2
9%
8.72
X/X
10%
5.37
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.7
2/2
13%
6.52
2/X
6%
14.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.7 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 27%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.74/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.39
+37% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
11.9 Crosses 16.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eyüpspor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sivasspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.13 xG 0.55
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
363 Passes 294
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Sivasspor Sivasspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eyüpspor
1-0
AWAY Sivasspor
1.06 xG 0.73
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
429 Passes 187
90% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 15
34 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eyüpspor vs Sivasspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eyüpspor squeezed past Sivasspor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Eyüpspor as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Eyüpspor had 65% of the ball to Sivasspor's 35%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.06 to 0.73.

What was the final score of Eyüpspor vs Sivasspor?

Eyüpspor 1-0 Sivasspor in the Turkey - Super League on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eyüpspor vs Sivasspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eyüpspor win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Eyüpspor 47%, draw 24%, Sivasspor 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eyüpspor) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eyüpspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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