Universidad Concepcion 1-0 Coquimbo Unido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
22%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.8pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universidad Concepcion EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Coquimbo Unido EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +24%
1.32/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.81
-2% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +105%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
13.6 Crosses 18.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universidad Concepcion
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Coquimbo Unido
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.56 xG 1.10
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
294 Passes 298
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2021 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion 0-1 HT 0-1 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİLİB
10.05.2021 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 1-0 HT 1-0 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion ŞİLİB
07.02.2021 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion 2-1 HT 2-1 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
21.10.2020 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 0-2 HT 0-1 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion ŞİL
27.07.2019 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 2-2 HT 0-1 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universidad Concepcion
1-0
AWAY Coquimbo Unido
1.17 xG 0.44
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 1
308 Passes 315
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Universidad Concepcion vs Coquimbo Unido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Concepcion squeezed past Coquimbo Unido 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Coquimbo Unido at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Universidad Concepcion had 50% of the ball to Coquimbo Unido's 50%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.17 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Universidad Concepcion and 1.00 for Coquimbo Unido.

What was the final score of Universidad Concepcion vs Coquimbo Unido?

Universidad Concepcion 1-0 Coquimbo Unido in the Chile - Premier League on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universidad Concepcion vs Coquimbo Unido?

Before kick-off our model rated an Coquimbo Unido win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Universidad Concepcion 32%, draw 26%, Coquimbo Unido 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Coquimbo Unido) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coquimbo Unido) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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