Mekelakeya 0-1 Sheger Ketema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
45%
+4.0pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.4pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.6pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.7pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheger Ketema EU Bookmakers 27%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.30/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.00
+34% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mekelakeya
0-1
AWAY Sheger Ketema
63% Ball Possession 37%
2 Total Shots 4
0 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mekelakeya vs Sheger Ketema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheger Ketema edged past Mekelakeya 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Mekelakeya at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mekelakeya had 63% of the ball to Sheger Ketema's 37%, shots finished 2-4.

What was the final score of Mekelakeya vs Sheger Ketema?

Mekelakeya 0-1 Sheger Ketema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mekelakeya vs Sheger Ketema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Mekelakeya 49%, draw 28%, Sheger Ketema 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mekelakeya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mekelakeya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ETH More Etiyopya - Premier League
31 Jan 2026
13:00 Dire Dawa Kenema vs Hadiya Hosaena Analysis →
16:00 Sidama Bunna vs Bahardar Analysis →