Leixoes U23 2-5 Benfica U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.0pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 45%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.22/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.62
-15% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes U23
2-5
AWAY Benfica U23
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Leixoes U23 vs Benfica U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U23 swept aside Leixoes U23 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Benfica U23 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Leixoes U23 had 58% of the ball to Benfica U23's 42%, shots finished 15-13.

What was the final score of Leixoes U23 vs Benfica U23?

Leixoes U23 2-5 Benfica U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes U23 vs Benfica U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Leixoes U23 33%, draw 24%, Benfica U23 43%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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