AS Ariana 1-1 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+2.8pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.3pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.2pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Ariana EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.63/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/0.49
-42% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +121%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
224 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Ariana
1-1
AWAY Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AS Ariana vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Ariana and Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, AS Ariana had 42% of the ball to Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer's 58%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of AS Ariana vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?

AS Ariana 1-1 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Ariana vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?

Before kick-off our model rated an Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split AS Ariana 32%, draw 32%, Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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