Changchun YaTai 0-1 Tianjin Teda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 31 Mar 2024

Changchun YaTai
0-1 HT 0-1
Tianjin Teda
📅31/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Changchun YaTai vs Tianjin Teda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
44%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.8
Over 2.5
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
27%
3.78
6+ Goals
8%
16.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.0
1/2
5%
29.5
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
6%
5.79
X/2 EV+ ✗
23%
5.39
X/X
11%
4.29
2/1
4%
31.5
2/2
16%
3.62
2/X
5%
12.75
Value flag · X/2 at 5.39 — our 23% vs market 14.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
44%
Away Win
36%
+7.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.3pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Changchun YaTai v Tianjin Teda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.09/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.13
-36% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +83% / +132%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
239 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
17.3 Crosses 13.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Changchun YaTai vs Tianjin Teda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changchun YaTai
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Tianjin Teda
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.48 xG 0.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
388 Passes 339
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.07.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 0-0 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
30.04.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-1 HT 0-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
12.11.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 2-3 HT 2-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
15.08.2022 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 2-2 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
28.07.2021 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-4 HT 0-3 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
29.04.2021 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 0-0 HT 0-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN

Changchun YaTai 0-1 Tianjin Teda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Changchun YaTai
0-1
AWAY Tianjin Teda
0.88 xG 2.37
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
319 Passes 285
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Changchun YaTai vs Tianjin Teda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tianjin Teda edged past Changchun YaTai 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tianjin Teda as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Changchun YaTai had 53% of the ball to Tianjin Teda's 47%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.88 to 2.37 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Tianjin Teda's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Changchun YaTai and 1.17 for Tianjin Teda.

What was the final score of Changchun YaTai vs Tianjin Teda?

Changchun YaTai 0-1 Tianjin Teda in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changchun YaTai vs Tianjin Teda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tianjin Teda win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Changchun YaTai 31%, draw 25%, Tianjin Teda 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tianjin Teda) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tianjin Teda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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