Manchester United (K) 4-1 Everton (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.3
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.43
Over 2.5
46%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
30%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
72%
-12.1pp
24%
Draw
17%
+7.1pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
38%
+16.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
62%
-16.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United (K) EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.80/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/2.99
-18% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -14%
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
424 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
20.5 Crosses 11.4
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Everton (K)
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.19 xG 0.58
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
338 Passes 259
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2023 Everton (K) Everton (K) 0-5 HT 0-1 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
08.12.2019 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 3-1 HT 3-1 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United (K)
4-1
AWAY Everton (K)
2.31 xG 0.31
59% Ball Possession 41%
23 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 4
454 Passes 291
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
37 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Manchester United (K) vs Everton (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United (K) swept aside Everton (K) 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Manchester United (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Manchester United (K) had 59% of the ball to Everton (K)'s 41%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 2.31 to 0.31.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Manchester United (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Manchester United (K) and 0.50 for Everton (K).

What was the final score of Manchester United (K) vs Everton (K)?

Manchester United (K) 4-1 Everton (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United (K) vs Everton (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Manchester United (K) 60%, draw 24%, Everton (K) 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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