Manchester City 0-0 Arsenal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 31 Mar 2024

Manchester City
0-0 HT 0-0
Arsenal
📅31/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Manchester City vs Arsenal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.69
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
11.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.75
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
13%
4.64
X/2
8%
7.16
X/X
10%
4.93
2/1
10%
24.0
2/2
13%
5.05
2/X
9%
13.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 10% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester City v Arsenal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.96/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.42
+41% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
32.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
18.2 Crosses 16.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Manchester City vs Arsenal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Arsenal
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.47 xG 0.72
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
416 Passes 354
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 20
8 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Arsenal Arsenal 1-0 HT 0-0 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
06.08.2023 Manchester City Manchester City 1-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Arsenal İCS
26.04.2023 Manchester City Manchester City 4-1 HT 2-0 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
15.02.2023 Arsenal Arsenal 1-3 HT 1-1 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
27.01.2023 Manchester City Manchester City 1-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Arsenal FAK
01.01.2022 Arsenal Arsenal 1-2 HT 1-0 Manchester City Manchester City İNP

Manchester City 0-0 Arsenal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City
0-0
AWAY Arsenal
1.02 xG 0.66
72% Ball Possession 28%
12 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
618 Passes 191
88% Pass Accuracy 71%
40 Box Touches 15
32 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Manchester City vs Arsenal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City and Arsenal played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Manchester City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Manchester City had 72% of the ball to Arsenal's 28%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.02 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Manchester City and 0.83 for Arsenal.

What was the final score of Manchester City vs Arsenal?

Manchester City 0-0 Arsenal in the England - Premier League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City vs Arsenal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Manchester City 44%, draw 25%, Arsenal 32%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Manchester City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
31 Mar 2024
16:00 Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion Analysis →