A. Bilbao (K) 4-1 Badalona (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.64
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
33%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
57%
-23.7pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.6pp
33%
Away Win
19%
+14.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME A. Bilbao (K) EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Badalona (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.77/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.91
+46% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -61%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
13.0 Crosses 21.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME A. Bilbao (K)
4-1
AWAY Badalona (K)
2.63 xG 2.04
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
491 Passes 251
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH A. Bilbao (K) vs Badalona (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

A. Bilbao (K) ran out comfortable winners over Badalona (K) 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; A. Bilbao (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, A. Bilbao (K) had 63% of the ball to Badalona (K)'s 37%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 2.63 to 2.04.

What was the final score of A. Bilbao (K) vs Badalona (K)?

A. Bilbao (K) 4-1 Badalona (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for A. Bilbao (K) vs Badalona (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a A. Bilbao (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split A. Bilbao (K) 33%, draw 33%, Badalona (K) 33%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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