Hamburg II 2-0 St. Pauli II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.21
Over 2.5
63%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+6.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
-1.4pp
39%
BTTS No
38%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +20%
2.33/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.33
+37% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburg II
4W-2D-0L
AWAY St. Pauli II
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.09.2023 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-1 HT 0-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
21.04.2023 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 2-4 HT 1-1 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
14.10.2022 Hamburg II Hamburg II 5-1 HT 3-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
24.10.2021 Hamburg II Hamburg II 2-2 HT 2-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
18.08.2021 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-1 HT 0-1 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
19.10.2020 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-1 HT 1-1 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamburg II
2-0
AWAY St. Pauli II
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hamburg II vs St. Pauli II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg II beat St. Pauli II 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and on the day Hamburg II made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hamburg II had 56% of the ball to St. Pauli II's 44%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamburg II had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Hamburg II and 1.00 for St. Pauli II.

What was the final score of Hamburg II vs St. Pauli II?

Hamburg II 2-0 St. Pauli II in the Germany - Regional League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburg II vs St. Pauli II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hamburg II 39%, draw 23%, St. Pauli II 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamburg II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamburg II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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