Sturm Graz II 1-3 Admira Wacker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
56%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
28%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.06
1/2
5%
22.7
1/X
5%
14.4
X/1
8%
8.25
X/2
18%
4.24
X/X
10%
5.15
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
33%
2.41
2/X
8%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-3.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
56%
Away Win
51%
+4.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Admira Wacker EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -35%
1.39/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.24
+12% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / +5%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
235 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 78%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.7 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz II
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Admira Wacker
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
01.09.2023 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 1-1 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
07.05.2023 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 2-5 HT 2-2 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
09.09.2022 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 1-2 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz II
1-3
AWAY Admira Wacker
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz II vs Admira Wacker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Admira Wacker got the better of Sturm Graz II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Admira Wacker as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sturm Graz II had 54% of the ball to Admira Wacker's 46%, shots finished 15-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sturm Graz II and 2.33 for Admira Wacker.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz II vs Admira Wacker?

Sturm Graz II 1-3 Admira Wacker in the Austria - 1st Division on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz II vs Admira Wacker?

Before kick-off our model rated an Admira Wacker win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz II 22%, draw 23%, Admira Wacker 56%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Admira Wacker), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Admira Wacker) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AU2 More Austria - 1st Division
31 Mar 2024
11:30 Stripfing vs First Vienna Analysis →
13:30 FC Liefering vs Floridsdorfer AC Analysis →