Rockdale Ilinden 3-1 NWS Spirit — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.49
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
31%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
62%
-19.4pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.4pp
31%
Away Win
17%
+14.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 21%
+14% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.74/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.32
+9% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
466 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.3 Crosses 12.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rockdale Ilinden
2W-0D-0L
AWAY NWS Spirit
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.74 xG 1.07
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 Passes 378
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-0 HT 2-0 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
29.04.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 0-1 HT 0-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
POST-MATCH Rockdale Ilinden vs NWS Spirit
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rockdale Ilinden got the better of NWS Spirit 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rockdale Ilinden as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rockdale Ilinden had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rockdale Ilinden and 0.00 for NWS Spirit.

What was the final score of Rockdale Ilinden vs NWS Spirit?

Rockdale Ilinden 3-1 NWS Spirit in the Australia - National Premier League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rockdale Ilinden vs NWS Spirit?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rockdale Ilinden win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rockdale Ilinden 43%, draw 26%, NWS Spirit 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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