Al Hamriyah 1-3 Al Fujairah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
30%
+9.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
35%
Away Win
44%
-8.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hamriyah EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fujairah EU Bookmakers 48%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.64/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/0.62
-49% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +104%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
250 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hamriyah
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Fujairah
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
18.11.2023 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah 3-2 HT 2-2 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
16.04.2023 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
17.12.2022 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah BAE2
20.02.2022 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
05.11.2021 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hamriyah
1-3
AWAY Al Fujairah
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Hamriyah vs Al Fujairah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fujairah beat Al Hamriyah 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Al Fujairah found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Hamriyah had 47% of the ball to Al Fujairah's 53%, shots finished 7-14.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Fujairah led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Al Hamriyah and 1.80 for Al Fujairah.

What was the final score of Al Hamriyah vs Al Fujairah?

Al Hamriyah 1-3 Al Fujairah in the UAE - 1st Division on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hamriyah vs Al Fujairah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hamriyah win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Hamriyah 40%, draw 25%, Al Fujairah 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Hamriyah), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Hamriyah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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