Botev Plovdiv 0-0 Cherno More Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.0pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.2pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 34%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.30/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.98
-73% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / -51%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
260 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Plovdiv
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cherno More Varna
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
3 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2023 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-0 HT 1-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Plovdiv
0-0
AWAY Cherno More Varna
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Plovdiv and Cherno More Varna fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Botev Plovdiv had 61% of the ball to Cherno More Varna's 39%, shots finished 9-5.

What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?

Botev Plovdiv 0-0 Cherno More Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 39%, draw 29%, Cherno More Varna 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Botev Plovdiv), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
31 Mar 2024
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