Stade Malien Bamako 1-2 Dreams — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.44
No
57%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
5.85
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.6pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.7pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.1pp
57%
BTTS No
63%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Malien Bamako EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Dreams EU Bookmakers 21%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-12% / +107% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
428 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 72%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Malien Bamako
1-2
AWAY Dreams
1.64 xG 2.55
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
123 Passes 234
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stade Malien Bamako vs Dreams
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dreams edged past Stade Malien Bamako 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Stade Malien Bamako at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stade Malien Bamako had 43% of the ball to Dreams's 57%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.64 to 2.55.

What was the final score of Stade Malien Bamako vs Dreams?

Stade Malien Bamako 1-2 Dreams in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Malien Bamako vs Dreams?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Malien Bamako win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Stade Malien Bamako 48%, draw 32%, Dreams 19%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stade Malien Bamako) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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