FC Helsingor 1-3 Naestved — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 31 Mar 2024

FC Helsingor
1-3 HT 1-1
Naestved
📅31/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2023/2024

FC Helsingor vs Naestved Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.61
No
38%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
31%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
10.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.17 — our 31% vs market 26.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.94
1/2
8%
24.85
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
11%
5.93
X/2
13%
5.14
X/X
12%
5.22
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
15%
3.23
2/X
9%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-4.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
58%
+4.2pp
38%
BTTS No
42%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Helsingor v Naestved — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Helsingor EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Naestved EU Bookmakers 45%
+11% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.35/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.76
+4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
16.7 Crosses 18.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.1

FC Helsingor vs Naestved Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Helsingor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Naestved
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.88 xG 1.50
50% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
350 Passes 336
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.12.2023 Naestved Naestved 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor DAN1
23.07.2023 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor 2-1 HT 2-0 Naestved Naestved DAN1
07.05.2023 Naestved Naestved 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor DAN1
25.04.2023 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor 4-2 HT 1-0 Naestved Naestved DAN1
23.10.2022 Naestved Naestved 2-3 HT 1-1 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor DAN1
16.09.2022 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor 1-2 HT 1-2 Naestved Naestved DAN1

FC Helsingor 1-3 Naestved — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Helsingor
1-3
AWAY Naestved
0.62 xG 2.23
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
414 Passes 343
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 35
27 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Helsingor vs Naestved
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naestved saw off FC Helsingor 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Naestved found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FC Helsingor had 54% of the ball to Naestved's 46%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.62 to 2.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Helsingor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FC Helsingor and 1.83 for Naestved.

What was the final score of FC Helsingor vs Naestved?

FC Helsingor 1-3 Naestved in the Denmark 1st Division on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Helsingor vs Naestved?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Helsingor win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Helsingor 37%, draw 27%, Naestved 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Helsingor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Helsingor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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