FC Levadia 2-0 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
0.85/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.16/1.45
-44% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -87% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Levadia
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.11.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-2 HT 2-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
16.09.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-0 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
03.05.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-0 HT 2-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
18.04.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
23.10.2022 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-2 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
31.08.2022 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
2-0
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
7 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia saw off Paide Linnameeskond 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, FC Levadia had 58% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 42%, shots finished 17-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Levadia and 0.83 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond?

FC Levadia 2-0 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 47%, draw 25%, Paide Linnameeskond 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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