Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1-1 Dire Dawa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
25%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.7pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 24%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +63% / +63%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+150% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +43%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
361 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1-1
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Dire Dawa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Nigd Bank and Dire Dawa Kenema shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ethiopia Nigd Bank at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Ethiopia Nigd Bank had 53% of the ball to Dire Dawa Kenema's 47%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1-1 Dire Dawa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Nigd Bank win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Nigd Bank 46%, draw 28%, Dire Dawa Kenema 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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