Gwangju vs Daegu Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gwangju v Daegu — Team-Based Signals
Gwangju vs Daegu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Gwangju
GKOK
1-1
HT 1-1
Daegu
GKOR
0-2
HT 0-0
Daegu
GKOK
3-4
HT 0-2
Gwangju
GKOK
1-2
HT 0-0
Gwangju
GKOK
0-1
HT 0-0
Daegu
GKOK
Gwangju 1-2 Daegu — Actual Match Statistics
Daegu squeezed past Gwangju 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Gwangju at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Gwangju had 68% of the ball to Daegu's 32%, shots finished 13-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gwangju and 1.50 for Daegu.
What was the final score of Gwangju vs Daegu?
Gwangju 1-2 Daegu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Daegu?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gwangju win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 43%, draw 27%, Daegu 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.