Suwon Bluewings 0-1 Busan I Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
18.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +27%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
Crosses 19.2
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon Bluewings
1W-4D-0L
AWAY Busan I Park
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.38 xG 0.60
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
423 Passes 284
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2020 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
29.08.2020 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 3-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOK
30.05.2020 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
09.09.2015 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-2 HT 1-1 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
12.07.2015 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-1 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon Bluewings
0-1
AWAY Busan I Park
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Suwon Bluewings vs Busan I Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park edged past Suwon Bluewings 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Busan I Park made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Suwon Bluewings had 60% of the ball to Busan I Park's 40%, shots finished 18-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Suwon Bluewings had the better of it with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Suwon Bluewings and 0.80 for Busan I Park.

What was the final score of Suwon Bluewings vs Busan I Park?

Suwon Bluewings 0-1 Busan I Park in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon Bluewings vs Busan I Park?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Suwon Bluewings 38%, draw 28%, Busan I Park 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Suwon Bluewings), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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