ATK Mohun Bagan 2-3 Chennaiyin FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 31 Mar 2024

ATK Mohun Bagan
2-3 HT 1-0
Chennaiyin FC
📅31/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
India - Super League – 2025/2026

ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.49
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
63%
-15.5pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.5pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ATK Mohun Bagan v Chennaiyin FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Chennaiyin FC EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.35/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.41
+15% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
16.4 Crosses 17.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Chennaiyin FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.04 xG 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
329 Passes 249
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 1-3 HT 0-2 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
21.01.2023 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 0-0 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
10.10.2022 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 1-2 HT 1-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
03.03.2022 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 0-1 HT 0-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
11.12.2021 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 1-1 HT 1-1 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
21.01.2021 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 1-0 HT 0-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL

ATK Mohun Bagan 2-3 Chennaiyin FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
2-3
AWAY Chennaiyin FC
1.89 xG 2.11
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 14
11 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
352 Passes 267
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chennaiyin FC nicked a narrow win over ATK Mohun Bagan 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was ATK Mohun Bagan at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, ATK Mohun Bagan had 55% of the ball to Chennaiyin FC's 45%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 1.89 to 2.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ATK Mohun Bagan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for ATK Mohun Bagan and 0.67 for Chennaiyin FC.

What was the final score of ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin FC?

ATK Mohun Bagan 2-3 Chennaiyin FC in the India - Super League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Chennaiyin FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split ATK Mohun Bagan 47%, draw 27%, Chennaiyin FC 26%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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