Hong Kong FC 0-4 Lee Man — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.95
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
62%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.98
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
43%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+9.0pp
19%
Draw
14%
+5.3pp
62%
Away Win
76%
-14.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hong Kong FC EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Lee Man EU Bookmakers 81%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.71/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.20/0.77
+1% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -32%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
229 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hong Kong FC
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Lee Man
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
32% Ball Possession 68%
4 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
11.02.2023 Lee Man Lee Man 2-1 HT 1-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
13.11.2022 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
12.12.2021 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
POST-MATCH Hong Kong FC vs Lee Man
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lee Man swept aside Hong Kong FC 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lee Man as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lee Man led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hong Kong FC and 2.33 for Lee Man.

What was the final score of Hong Kong FC vs Lee Man?

Hong Kong FC 0-4 Lee Man in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hong Kong FC vs Lee Man?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lee Man win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Hong Kong FC 19%, draw 19%, Lee Man 62%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lee Man), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lee Man) ✓ Over 2.5
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