Al Markhiya 1-2 Al Sadd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
9.57
Draw
15%
7.13
Away
65%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.68
Over 2.5
67%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
9.09
2-3 Goals
42%
2.44
4-5 Goals
29%
2.34
6+ Goals
14%
3.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
47%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
8%
+11.8pp
15%
Draw
12%
+3.5pp
65%
Away Win
80%
-15.3pp
33%
Under 2.5
24%
+9.3pp
67%
Over 2.5
76%
-9.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Markhiya EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 84%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
0.84/2.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.67
-34% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -27%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 489 · 86%
11.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
12.1 Crosses 14.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Markhiya
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Sadd
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.61 xG 2.68
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
226 Passes 439
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
17 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 5-0 HT 5-0 Al Markhiya Al Markhiya KAT
29.01.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Markhiya Al Markhiya KAT
01.08.2022 Al Markhiya Al Markhiya 4-3 HT 1-2 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Markhiya
1-2
AWAY Al Sadd
0.60 xG 4.85
30% Ball Possession 70%
4 Total Shots 32
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 16
169 Passes 488
68% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 68
6 Crosses 51
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Markhiya vs Al Sadd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sadd edged past Al Markhiya 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Sadd as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%) came in.

On the day, Al Markhiya had 30% of the ball to Al Sadd's 70%, shots finished 4-32, expected goals 0.60 to 4.85 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Sadd's control.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Sadd led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Markhiya and 3.00 for Al Sadd.

What was the final score of Al Markhiya vs Al Sadd?

Al Markhiya 1-2 Al Sadd in the Qatar League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Markhiya vs Al Sadd?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Al Markhiya 20%, draw 15%, Al Sadd 65%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sadd), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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