Valmiera / BSS vs Riga FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valmiera / BSS v Riga FC — Team-Based Signals
Valmiera / BSS vs Riga FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Riga FC
LET
3-0
HT 1-0
Valmiera / BSS
LET
1-0
HT 0-0
Riga FC
LET
3-0
HT 2-0
Valmiera / BSS
LET
3-1
HT 1-0
Riga FC
LET
0-2
HT 0-1
Valmiera / BSS
LETK
Valmiera / BSS 2-1 Riga FC — Actual Match Statistics
Valmiera / BSS squeezed past Riga FC 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Riga FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Valmiera / BSS had 43% of the ball to Riga FC's 57%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 1.40 to 1.89 — the balance of chances actually favoured Riga FC.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valmiera / BSS had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Valmiera / BSS and 1.33 for Riga FC.
What was the final score of Valmiera / BSS vs Riga FC?
Valmiera / BSS 2-1 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valmiera / BSS vs Riga FC?
Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Valmiera / BSS 28%, draw 30%, Riga FC 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.