Cerro Porteno vs Nacional Asuncion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerro Porteno v Nacional Asuncion — Team-Based Signals
Cerro Porteno vs Nacional Asuncion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Cerro Porteno
PAR
1-1
HT 1-0
Nacional Asuncion
PAR
2-1
HT 1-0
Cerro Porteno
PAR
4-1
HT 2-0
Nacional Asuncion
PAR
0-0
HT 0-0
Cerro Porteno
PAR
0-0
HT 0-0
Nacional Asuncion
PAR
Cerro Porteno 1-0 Nacional Asuncion — Actual Match Statistics
Cerro Porteno nicked a narrow win over Nacional Asuncion 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Cerro Porteno had 62% of the ball to Nacional Asuncion's 38%, shots finished 15-8.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cerro Porteno and 0.83 for Nacional Asuncion.
What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Nacional Asuncion?
Cerro Porteno 1-0 Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Nacional Asuncion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 51%, draw 24%, Nacional Asuncion 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.