UTC Cajamarca 1-2 Sporting Cristal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
23%
+10.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-10.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 57%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.06/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.15
+18% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -17%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
247 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
22.1 Crosses 18.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTC Cajamarca
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Sporting Cristal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.93 xG 2.02
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
158 Passes 402
65% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 1-1 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
07.05.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
26.07.2022 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 0-2 HT 0-2 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
25.02.2022 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 3-2 HT 2-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
17.09.2021 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-6 HT 0-3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
23.11.2020 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTC Cajamarca
1-2
AWAY Sporting Cristal
1.61 xG 1.77
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
259 Passes 221
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 15
35 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UTC Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Cristal edged past UTC Cajamarca 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, UTC Cajamarca had 54% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 46%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.61 to 1.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for UTC Cajamarca and 2.33 for Sporting Cristal.

What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal?

UTC Cajamarca 1-2 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTC Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split UTC Cajamarca 34%, draw 23%, Sporting Cristal 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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