Alverca vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alverca v Lusitania FC Lourosa — Team-Based Signals
Alverca 3-1 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Actual Match Statistics
Alverca got the better of Lusitania FC Lourosa 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Alverca made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Alverca had 38% of the ball to Lusitania FC Lourosa's 62%, shots finished 8-11.
What was the final score of Alverca vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?
Alverca 3-1 Lusitania FC Lourosa in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alverca vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Alverca 35%, draw 29%, Lusitania FC Lourosa 36%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.