Spartak Trnava 1-0 Zilina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 31 Mar 2024

Spartak Trnava
1-0 HT 1-0
Zilina
📅31/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Slovakia Super League – 2023/2024

Spartak Trnava vs Zilina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 28% vs market 25.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spartak Trnava v Zilina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Zilina EU Bookmakers 23%
-14% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.53/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.81
-29% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 69%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
24.7 Crosses 11.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Spartak Trnava vs Zilina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Trnava
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Zilina
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.20 xG 1.11
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
308 Passes 377
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.12.2023 Zilina Zilina 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
03.09.2023 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 0-2 HT 0-0 Zilina Zilina SLVK
15.04.2023 Zilina Zilina 1-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
22.10.2022 Zilina Zilina 1-2 HT 0-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
07.08.2022 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 2-2 HT 0-1 Zilina Zilina SLVK
14.05.2022 Zilina Zilina 1-2 HT 1-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK

Spartak Trnava 1-0 Zilina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Trnava
1-0
AWAY Zilina
1.48 xG 0.87
35% Ball Possession 65%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
224 Passes 495
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Spartak Trnava vs Zilina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Trnava nicked a narrow win over Zilina 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Spartak Trnava as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Spartak Trnava had 35% of the ball to Zilina's 65%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.48 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Spartak Trnava and 1.33 for Zilina.

What was the final score of Spartak Trnava vs Zilina?

Spartak Trnava 1-0 Zilina in the Slovakia Super League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Trnava vs Zilina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Trnava win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Spartak Trnava 49%, draw 23%, Zilina 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Trnava), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Trnava) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →