IK Oddevold 1-0 Umea FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 31 Mar 2025

IK Oddevold
1-0 HT 1-0
Umea FC
📅31/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2026

IK Oddevold vs Umea FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.26
6+ Goals
8%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.13
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.85
X/1
20%
4.19
X/2
9%
10.1
X/X
11%
5.4
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
22.9
2/2
9%
8.16
2/X
7%
16.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.9 — our 13% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Over 2.5 — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Oddevold v Umea FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Oddevold EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Umea FC EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
0.93/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.62
-44% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / -3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH IK Oddevold vs Umea FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Oddevold edged past Umea FC 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had IK Oddevold as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of IK Oddevold vs Umea FC?

IK Oddevold 1-0 Umea FC in the Sweden - Superettan on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Oddevold vs Umea FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Oddevold win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split IK Oddevold 51%, draw 24%, Umea FC 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IK Oddevold), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IK Oddevold) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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