Milan U20 1-2 Sampdoria U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 31 Mar 2025

📅31/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
33%
3.8
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-12.9pp
33%
Draw
23%
+10.0pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan U20 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria U20 EU Bookmakers 23%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.32/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.99
+18% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
367 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milan U20
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sampdoria U20
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.12.2024 Sampdoria U20 Sampdoria U20 2-3 HT 0-1 Milan U20 Milan U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan U20
1-2
AWAY Sampdoria U20
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Milan U20 vs Sampdoria U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sampdoria U20 edged past Milan U20 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Milan U20 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Milan U20 had 58% of the ball to Sampdoria U20's 42%, shots finished 11-6.

What was the final score of Milan U20 vs Sampdoria U20?

Milan U20 1-2 Sampdoria U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan U20 vs Sampdoria U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milan U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Milan U20 44%, draw 33%, Sampdoria U20 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Milan U20), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milan U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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