Union La Calera 2-1 Cobresal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 31 Mar 2025

📅31/03/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Cobresal EU Bookmakers 26%
-10% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.45/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.49
-15% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
16.2 Crosses 15.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union La Calera
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cobresal
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.07 xG 1.27
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
344 Passes 306
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Union La Calera Union La Calera 3-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
02.06.2024 Cobresal Cobresal 2-1 HT 1-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
09.07.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-1 HT 0-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
22.01.2023 Cobresal Cobresal 3-1 HT 2-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
17.07.2022 Cobresal Cobresal 3-1 HT 1-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
21.02.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-2 HT 0-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union La Calera
2-1
AWAY Cobresal
0.54 xG 1.66
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
515 Passes 291
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union La Calera vs Cobresal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union La Calera nicked a narrow win over Cobresal 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union La Calera as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Union La Calera had 62% of the ball to Cobresal's 38%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.54 to 1.66 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cobresal.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cobresal led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Union La Calera and 1.83 for Cobresal.

What was the final score of Union La Calera vs Cobresal?

Union La Calera 2-1 Cobresal in the Chile - Premier League on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union La Calera vs Cobresal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union La Calera win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Union La Calera 47%, draw 24%, Cobresal 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union La Calera) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union La Calera) ✗ BTTS No
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