FC Sochi 2-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 31 Mar 2025

📅31/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.4pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.39/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.31
-8% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sochi
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
18.08.2024 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sochi
2-1
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH FC Sochi vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sochi squeezed past Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Sochi as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, FC Sochi had 66% of the ball to Yenisey Krasnoyarsk's 34%, shots finished 18-4.

What was the final score of FC Sochi vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

FC Sochi 2-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk in the Russia - FNL on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sochi vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sochi win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FC Sochi 51%, draw 23%, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sochi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Sochi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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